Count Leverage
The First-Pitch Strike Cascade
A first-pitch strike drops batter's wOBA by .040, reshaping the at-bat. Explore count leverage, pitcher strategy, and why strike one matters most in baseball.
Data-driven visual essays that make the invisible physics of baseball visible. Spin rates, swing decisions, and probability shifts, designed to be felt, not just read.
150 years of baseball. 20,000+ careers. Pick your ballot from the data. WAR, peak value, postseason performance, and the arguments that never end.
The forces behind every pitch, every swing, every season. Free.
A first-pitch strike drops batter's wOBA by .040, reshaping the at-bat. Explore count leverage, pitcher strategy, and why strike one matters most in baseball.
Pete Crow-Armstrong hit .272 in the first half and .188 in the final 200 PA. The projections say it gets worse. The Cubs aren't ready.
UCL surgeries are up 25% since 2019. Velocity keeps climbing. The sport is breaking its own arms, and the incentive structure rewards the pitches that cause it.
Data-driven analysis of baseball's biggest shifts. No fluff, no gatekeeping.
One essay a week. Free.